Systems Thinking Vocabulary

Delphi method

Systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts

Categories: Systems Thinking

Acknowledgement

References
  • Dalkey N, Helmer O (1963). “An Experimental Application of the Delphi Method to the use of experts”. Management Science9 (3): doi:10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458
  • Brown BB (September 1968). Delphi Process: A Methodology Used for the Elicitation of Opinions of Experts (Report)
  • Linstone HA, Turoff M, eds. (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications

Acknowledgement

Concept Coordinates

The Delphi method or Delphi technique, also known  as Estimate-Talk-Estimate or ETE, is a structured communication technique or method, originally developed as a systematic, interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts.The technique can also be adapted for use in face-to-face meetings, and is then called mini-Delphi. Delphi has been widely used for business forecasting and has certain advantages over another structured forecasting approach, prediction markets. (Wikipedia)

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